Impending Large-Scale Russian Offensive Anticipated in Ukraine, Says ISW

 

The US think tank has issued a warning about Moscow's intentions to launch a significant offensive as weather conditions on the frontlines improve. According to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Russia may be gearing up for a fresh assault in Ukraine in the near future.

 

This announcement from the US-based think tank comes amidst growing concerns that recently approved arms shipments from Washington may not reach Kyiv in time. The delays in Western assistance have already provided Russia with opportunities to make gradual advances along the frontline.

 

Riley Baily, an ISW analyst focusing on Russia, highlighted the challenges facing Ukrainian forces due to material shortages and delays in Western security aid. He emphasized that Ukrainian forces lack the capabilities they once had to counter Russian advances effectively.

 

Baily noted that Russian forces are steadily regaining strength and maneuverability on the battlefield, posing a threat of significant operational advances during an anticipated large-scale offensive this summer.

 

The ISW report suggests that Russia is likely planning fresh attacks on key locations, including the strategically vital town of Chasiv Yar. Capturing Chasiv Yar would provide Russian forces with a launching pad for further offensive operations towards Konstantikovkivka and Kruskivka, major cities crucial to Ukrainian defense.

 

The prospect of a Russian spring offensive has been a longstanding concern for Kyiv. The ability of Ukrainian forces to repel such an offensive hinges largely on the timely delivery of Western military assistance, according to analysts.

 

A much-needed aid package recently passed by the US House of Representatives was welcomed by Ukrainian and Western leaders on Sunday. The majority of the funding is designated for Ukraine, with other countries like Israel and Taiwan also set to benefit.

 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who has stressed the importance of US support in the conflict, emphasized the urgent need for aid on the frontline to bolster Ukraine's defense capabilities.