The Observer's Perspective: Ukraine's Growing Peril Amid Global Indecision



 

NATO countries recently stepped up to defend Israel from Iranian missiles and armed drones, while Ukrainians were left feeling overlooked, given their ongoing need for military aid against Russian aggression. This isn't because Ukrainians support Iran; it's because their request for similar support against Russia's relentless aerial attacks hasn't been met, unlike Israel, which saw no fatalities from these missile attacks. In contrast, Ukraine still suffers frequent civilian casualties, like the tragic incident in Chernihiv that left 17 people dead and many more injured.

 

Despite over two years of war, resulting from Russia's illegal full-scale invasion, Ukraine's situation remains precarious, with a growing risk that Russia's aggression might eventually prevail. This would be disastrous, not only for Ukraine but for European security, US leadership, and the stability of countries like Moldova and Estonia, which face Russian destabilization efforts. Ukrainian leaders have warned about Russia's growing advantages in manpower, ammunition, and air power. General Oleksandr Syrsky and President Volodymyr Zelenskiy have both expressed concerns about territorial losses and Russia's preparations for a significant offensive in late spring or early summer.

 

Russia has taken advantage of Ukraine's vulnerabilities, targeting power plants and civilian infrastructure, likely due to Ukraine's lack of modern air defense systems. While Germany has promised another Patriot missile battery, Zelenskiy noted that Ukraine needs 25 but has only two. The criticism Ukraine faces for its counterattacks on Russian oil refineries highlights a challenging dynamic, with US concerns about rising energy prices.

 

Russian President Vladimir Putin's recent claim that he attacked power plants in spring instead of winter "out of humanitarian considerations" reflects the cynical and smug attitude characteristic of Russia's narrative. Putin believes he's winning, partly because Western democracies seem to be losing focus on supporting a Ukrainian victory, with disputes in the US Congress over military aid for Kyiv. The Israel-Hamas war and Iran's attack on Israel have redirected attention and resources, complicating Ukraine's fight for aid. In addition, far-right populist parties in Europe and Donald Trump's rhetoric in the US contribute to a divisive atmosphere that makes supporting Ukraine politically contentious.

 

Given this backdrop, Western leaders must urgently increase and expedite military support for Kyiv. While France's Emmanuel Macron, Germany's Olaf Scholz, and Britain's Rishi Sunak have all reiterated their support for Ukraine, their words have not yet resulted in sufficient action. Despite a recent "crisis summit" where NATO members offered additional air defense systems, it may not be enough to prevent Ukraine from descending into further turmoil.

 

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